Public Employment
THE TOTAL PUBLIC WORKFORCE 

If public employment is taken as a whole – meaning, according to the Financial Management System definition, the three public administrations (federal, provincial and local), the health and social services networks, the education networks, and government business enterprises – the public sector workforce of all provinces declined in size during the 1990s. The scale and length of these cutbacks nevertheless varied from one province to the next. For example, the decrease in British Columbia was practically nil, as the public workforce numbers fell only in a single year (1997) and only slightly so at that (-1.3%). Ontario and Alberta are the two provinces where cutbacks were strongest during this decade. Yet, since 2001, these same provinces stand out for the growth of public employment (+27.4% in Ontario and +25.7% in Alberta from 2001 to 2010). It would appear that the factors explaining differences between the provinces in the terms of overall changes in public employment include, specifically:

  • the financial situation of provincial governments. The more that governments are in debt, the more they tend to stabilize and indeed reduce the size of their of their workforce and to privatize public services;
  • the persistence of social democratic model of government intervention in certain provinces, particularly in Saskatchewan and Manitoba;
  • the existence of a likely pendulum swing in Ontario and Alberta following the waves of position abolitions that, however, did not come accompanied by a radical, structuring redefinition of the role of government in society.

These fluctuations, expressed in nominal value, nevertheless should be relativized against the historically more or less sizeable share of public employment in the total labour market. The ratio of public employment to total employment is one of the main indicators for measuring the scale of government intervention in a given society. The greater this proportion is, the more that the public sector is present in the capacity of employer and the more this role is assumed to be considerable.

 Public employment as share of total employment (%), Provinces, Canada, 1981-2010

 Year

NFL

PEI

NS

NB

QC

ON

MB

SK

AL

BC

Can.

1981

 29.6

27.9

35.9

29.7

25.5

20.9

27.8 

26.8

22.0 

21.5

23.8

1986

 31.6

28.3

32.7

29.9

20.5

20.5

27.9

25.5

24.2

21.8

23.7

1991

 29.9

30.8

31.7

28.7

21.7

21.7

28.4

26.4

23.1

20.7

23.8

1996

 29.8

27.4

28.7

25.8

18.9

18.9

26.1

25.1

18.4

19.4

21.2

2001

 28.9

26.6

28.7

25.7

17.6

17.6

26.9

27.2

16.7

18.7

20.4

2006

 27.9

25.1

27.9

24.7

18.6

18.6

28.4

27.0

15.8

16.7

20.1

2007

 28.3

25.2

27.4

24.2

18.8

18.8

27.6

27.1

15.8

16.8

20.1

2008

 29.0

25.9

27.4

24.5

19.3

19.3

27.9

27.0

16.1

17.0

20.4

2009

30.9

27.4

28.1

25.2

22.7

19.9

28.3

28.1

17.0

17.8

21.1

2010

30.9

27.1

28.3

26.6

22.4

20.1

27.8

27.9

17.0

17.9

21.2


Source: Statistics Canada, E-STAT, Tables 183-0002 (updated July 27, 2011), Public sector employment, expressed in persons and calculated annual average, and 282-0002 (updated on July 27, 2011), Labour Force Survey, estimation of the number of jobs in terms of "persons."

The ratio of public employment to total employment is partially determined by the dynamism of total employment. In Canada since 1981, total employment has undergone four phases, which were more or less pronounced depending on the province concerned:

  • an increase in the unemployment rate in the early 1980s, which resulted by a slight decrease in the number of full-time jobs, primarily in 1982 and 1983;
  • tangible improvement in the employment situation starting in 1985-86 and lasting until 1990;
  • a new increase in the unemployment rate between 1990 and 1995. This employment slump ran deeper and lasted longer in Quebec than in the other provinces of comparable size, resulting in a net decline in employment in 1991, 1992 and 1993;
  • an increase in the number of jobs in all the provinces of Canada during the second half of the 1990s.

Furthermore, it is important to note the particular situation of the labour markets in Alberta and British Columbia, which have posted more constant patterns of growth since 1981.  

Considering the variations in both the denominator of total employment and the number of public employees during the 1981-2009 period, the overall decrease of the share of public employment in total employment was interrupted by two short periods of growth (lasting two to three years) in the early 1980s and the early 1990s.

Between 1981 and 2010, Alberta and Nova Scotia were the provinces in which the share of public employment decreased most sharply (-22.8% and -21.2%, respectively). However, these declines occurred in two highly contrasting contexts. In Nova Scotia in the early 1980s, more than one employee in three was a public employee, thus garnering for this province the highest such ratios, particularly from 1981 to 1994. In Alberta, on the other hand, the proportion of public employment in total employment was historically lower. Thus, following cutbacks in the province’s public workforce in the 1990s, Alberta posted the lowest ratio of public employment to total employment of all provinces (17.0%) as of 2010.

During this period, Quebec and New Brunswick were the provinces in which the decrease in this ratio (-12.0% and 10.5%) most closely mirrored that of the public workforce in all of Canada (-11.0%). Interestingly enough, in Ontario between 1981 and 2010, the ratio decreased less strongly than in Quebec (-3.8%), even though it was the province whose public workforce underwent the most drastic cutbacks during the 1990s. Only two provinces present an increase in the ratio of public employment to total employment between 1981 and 2009: Saskatchewan (+4.0%) and Newfoundland and Labrador (+4.6 %).

The number of employees per 1000 inhabitants is an indicator of the capacity of the public sector to deliver services. It provides an idea of the scale of administrative systems in the provinces of Canada. It is also indicative of the size of government relative to a given society, although, on this score, the ratio of public employees to total employment is more suitable.

Public sector employees per 1000 inhabitants, Provinces, Canada, 1981-2010

Year

NFL

PEI

NS

NB

QC

ON

MB

SK

AL

BC

Can.

1981

95.7

106.4

137.8

108.3

108.8

101.8

125.9

118.4

113.7

100.2

108.4

1986

102.5

114.9

128.8

111.6

110.4

102.7

127.3

114.2

117.4

96.3

108.8

1991

105.8

126.3

131.9

113.7

108.2

104.5

129.8

119.3

114.7

96.9

109.0

1996

99.8

118.9

116.1

105.0

101.3

88.3

118.9

112.4

93.0

91.0

96.3

2001

112.9

123.9

128.0

113.3

106.8

87.7

129.4

125.1

89.2

88.2

98.1

2006

118.1

124.8

131.2

117.6

108.3

95.4

140.9

133.9

86.3

86.6

101.6

2007

121.5

126.6

130.8

117.9

108.6

97.1

138.1

135.9

88.2

88.1

102.7

2008

125.9

129.9

132.4

120.1

110.3

99.7

139.9

136.3

90.7

89.7

104.8

2009

130.7

134.9

135.5

123.1

111.5

99.5

140.4

142.0

91.5

90.0

105.5

2010

133.2

134.3

135.8

125.8

111.1

100.6

139.5

139.8

92.1

89.1

105.8

Source: Statistics Canada, E-STAT, Tables 183-0002 (updated July 27, 2011), Public sector employment, expressed in persons and calculated annual average and 051-0001 (updated July 27, 2011), estimated population (annual average).

The general trend in Canada has been toward a reduction in the number of public employees per 1000 inhabitants. This phenomenon owes, in particular, to a combination of demographic growth and stable if not declining public employment numbers. On the basis of the ratios of individual provinces relative to the Canadian average, it possible to distinguish between the following groups:

  • the Atlantic provinces, which, as a rule, are home to a ratio of public employees to 1000 inhabitants that is well above the Canadian average and which, in addition, are characterized by weak demographic dynamics;
  • two of the Prairie provinces, Saskatchewan and Manitoba, which, despite different patterns of change, end up having the highest ratios in Canada, with close to one inhabitant in seven being on the payroll of a public organization in 2009;
  • Quebec, where the “public employment/population” ratio held practically even until 1994 – in other words, through this period, public employment grew at the same pace as the general population. After 1994, considering that the population was continually on the rise, the factor explaining the downward change of this ratio is the decline in public employment numbers. Thereafter, the number of public employees per 1000 inhabitants has increased sharply (+18% from 2000 to 2010);
  • Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia present the lowest ratios. In Alberta and British Columbia, the sharp drop in the number of public employees per 1000 inhabitants owes more to the sharp increase in the population between 1981 and 2010 (+62.4% and +44.6%) than to the impact of cutback measures. Ontario, which historically had a lower ratio than Alberta, also experienced heavy demographic growth (+46.8% between 1981 and 2009). In this province, the ratio of public employees to 1000 inhabitants held relatively steady until 1991, meaning that the public employee numbers increased in keeping with the pace of population growth. From 1991 to 2000, this ratio continually fell, the result of a decreased public workforce during this period. Since 2000, on the other hand, this ratio has been trending strongly upward, suggesting that a “catch-up” phenomenon is currently underway among public services, in a context of a redefinition of the role of government.